NCAA Tournament March Madness

#306 Houston Chr

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Houston Chr's résumé makes the projection sensible because their few bright spots, such as a road win at New Orleans and a gritty road victory at Citadel and a home victory over ULM, are outweighed by damaging losses on the road at UC San Diego and at Iowa State and a neutral-site setback to Bellarmine that exposed defensive problems. A tight outing at North Texas showed they can hang with higher-level opposition, but that promise has been eroded by a pattern of poor results away from home including defeats at SF Austin and Lamar and a home loss to McNeese State, leaving them light on quality wins. The remainder of the schedule presents chances to repair the résumé, with a rematch at McNeese State, a home meeting with New Orleans and road tests at Southeastern Louisiana and UTRGV among the opportunities, yet unless they turn those into wins against the better league opponents their only reliable path to the NCAA field is to earn the Southland’s automatic bid.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@UC San Diego108L78-60
11/13ULM360W72-61
11/25(N)Bellarmine290L74-69
11/26@Citadel352W72-65
11/29@Ga Southern245L80-62
12/2@North Texas149L77-75
12/6@New Orleans202W85-76
12/13SE Louisiana259L74-71
12/15McNeese St68L78-68
12/17@Nicholls St247L79-64
12/29@Iowa St5L89-61
1/3@Incarnate Word248L73-56
1/5TAM C. Christi185L81-65
1/10@SF Austin99L85-67
1/12@Lamar207L64-56
1/17East Texas A&M295W81-70
1/19Northwestern LA271W82-80
1/24UTRGV174L68-51
1/27Incarnate Word248W81-75
1/31@TAM C. Christi18517%
2/2@UTRGV17416%
2/7@SE Louisiana25930%
2/9@McNeese St683%
2/14New Orleans20239%
2/16Nicholls St24747%
2/21@Northwestern LA27131%
2/23@East Texas A&M29536%
2/28SF Austin9917%
3/2Lamar20739%